What to trade around United States Adp Employment Change news event

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we could expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 04 May 12:15 if the released value is < 395K. A price movement of 7 pips could result. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Sep 12:15
04 Aug 12:15
05 May 12:15