What to trade around United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Jul 12:30 if the released value is > 17067K. A price movement of 18 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Jul 12:30
18 Jun 12:30
21 May 12:30
07 May 12:30