What to trade around United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 12925K. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jul 12:30