What to trade around United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news event

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we could expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 26 Apr 12:30 if the released value is < 1%. A price movement of 14 pips could result. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Mar 12:30
24 Nov 13:30
27 Jul 12:30
24 Jun 12:30
26 Apr 12:30