What to trade around United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news event

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is < 2.8%. A price movement of 37 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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