What to trade around United States Existing Home Sales news event

Based on the last 12 Existing Home Sales events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 20 Mar 14:00 if the released value is < 5.5M. A price movement of 8 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Dec 15:00
22 Oct 14:00
21 May 14:00
22 Apr 14:00