What to trade around United States Existing Home Sales news event

Based on the last 12 Existing Home Sales events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Aug 14:00 if the released value is > 5.83M. A price movement of 18 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Jun 14:00
19 Feb 15:00
22 Jan 15:00
22 Oct 14:00
21 Aug 14:00