What to trade around United States Existing Home Sales news event

Based on the last 12 Existing Home Sales events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 22 Apr 14:00 if the released value is > 6.19M. A price movement of 19 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Feb 15:00
22 Jan 15:00
19 Nov 15:00
21 Aug 14:00