What to trade around United States Inflation Rate YoY news event

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 10 Feb 13:30 if the released value is > 1.5%. A price movement of 18 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Jan 13:30
10 Dec 13:30
11 Sep 12:30
12 Aug 12:30