What to trade around United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news event

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 May 14:00 if the released value is > 36.9. A price movement of 24 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Feb 15:00
01 Jul 14:00