What to trade around United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news event

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 55.8. A price movement of 68 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Jul 14:00
01 May 14:00
01 Apr 14:00
03 Feb 15:00