What to trade around United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news event

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Feb 15:00 if the released value is > 60. A price movement of 20 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jan 15:00
01 Sep 14:00
03 Aug 14:00
01 Jul 14:00
01 May 14:00
03 Feb 15:00