What to trade around United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news event

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is < 60. A price movement of 45 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Dec 15:00
01 Oct 14:00
02 Mar 15:00