What to trade around United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel news event

Based on the last 12 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 14 May 14:00 if the released value is < 90.4. A price movement of 33 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Feb 15:00
15 Jan 15:00
13 Nov 15:00
17 Jul 14:00