What to trade around United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel news event

Based on the last 12 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 16 Jul 14:00 if the released value is < 86.5. A price movement of 23 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Apr 14:00
12 Feb 15:00
13 Nov 15:00
17 Jul 14:00