What to trade around United States New Home Sales news event

Based on the last 12 New Home Sales events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 70% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 24 Jul 14:00 if the released value is > 0.7M. A price movement of 36 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Jun 14:00
26 May 14:00
24 Mar 14:00
26 Nov 15:00
24 Oct 14:00
25 Sep 14:00
24 Jul 14:00