What to trade around United States New Home Sales news event

Based on the last 12 New Home Sales events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 70% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Dec 15:00 if the released value is > 0.995M. A price movement of 41 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Nov 15:00
26 Oct 14:00
24 Jul 14:00
23 Jun 14:00
26 May 14:00
23 Apr 14:00
24 Mar 14:00