What to trade around United States New Home Sales news event

Based on the last 12 New Home Sales events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 0.76M. A price movement of 25 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Sep 14:00
24 Aug 14:00
23 Apr 14:00
24 Feb 15:00
23 Dec 15:00