What to trade around United States Non Farm Payrolls news event

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 08 May 12:30 if the released value is < -22000K. A price movement of 39 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Jan 13:30
04 Oct 12:30
06 Sep 12:30
07 Jun 12:30